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PANDEMIC Simulator

India Data Model

India is locked-down to mitigate the risk of infecting the masses. A mathematical model that represents the population and the way some get contaminated, some recover, and some people die can be created to simulate (predict).

First, more and more people get contaminated. Then as people recover and develop antibodies, a contamination peak can be seen after which contaminated population decreases until reaching zero: the epidemic has ended.

Here is the result

 

Figure 1. Peak

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Figure 2. End of Pandemic in India

End date as per the predictive model is May 17, 2020

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